Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 24.816336 28.701551 32.923943 37.844312 43.410795 49.502973 56.665114
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 17.656708 22.836838 29.030595 36.937231 46.712629 58.349128 73.191487
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 13.774983 19.481201 26.838229 36.917113 50.247635 67.142385 90.019750
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 11.290698 17.222497 25.369253 37.200077 53.729671 75.757792 107.031921
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.787802 14.393071 22.558394 35.069329 53.441008 79.051640 116.971194
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.734978 13.455758 22.212100 36.239426 57.696696 88.723139 136.240816
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 7.049729 12.948625 22.386500 38.114004 63.049977 100.272149 158.966788
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.938199 11.543303 20.932151 37.224167 64.013654 105.306024 172.349137
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.884033 10.050440 19.109444 35.469918 63.348011 107.676567 181.704129
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.642916 9.990098 19.705750 37.801388 69.488652 121.079682 209.086882
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.579141 10.251462 20.887277 41.240080 77.737647 138.391412 243.774485
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.147331 9.713958 20.530356 41.868569 81.164146 147.973194 266.431477
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.589975 8.863441 19.542113 41.358639 82.772043 155.024252 286.100201
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.034983 7.924621 18.266657 40.182418 83.113220 160.032245 302.884808
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.665685 7.332262 17.607204 40.121773 85.503044 168.787472 326.749781
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.376997 6.872848 17.157973 40.418667 88.576315 178.955357 353.751306
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.942175 5.958232 15.569087 38.122070 86.286067 179.035657 362.471360
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.802384 5.781523 15.630106 39.382193 91.279286 193.120094 397.843385
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.720151 5.745612 16.016077 41.400748 98.005952 210.959475 441.313987
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.484189 5.223705 15.144062 40.442624 98.330989 216.308213 461.298906
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.237407 4.610269 13.942770 38.553241 96.434725 217.059865 472.364496
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.213389 4.683533 14.537967 41.064150 104.503930 238.514272 525.431475
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.235378 4.910495 15.573507 44.765287 115.543689 266.717827 593.430560